Owen Lee's comment on EURO. All Comments

Owen Lee
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MBOW 5.0 — PUBLIC
EURO HOLDINGS
Current Price: 0.075
Timeframe: 30M / 4H / 1D / 1W / 1M / 3M
Market State
STRUCTURE RECOVERY → EARLY EXPANSION ATTEMPT
Current Structure Position
股价已经脱离长期 0.045–0.055 压缩底部区域。
目前进入:
周线级别结构突破后高位整理
日线处于 acceptance 测试阶段
4H / 30M 出现短线 momentum deceleration
真正关键不是“涨了多少”,而是:
0.075 上方能否持续站稳并形成主动接受。
目前仍属于: HIGH VOLATILITY ACCEPTANCE ZONE。
Structure Bias
Bias: BULLISH WITH SHORT-TERM FRICTION
长期:
月线 MACD 已完成底部翻转
月线 OBV 长期下降后首次明显抬升
3M Fisher 出现多年级别低位回升
代表:
长周期死亡结构开始解除。
这类通常不是“一天行情”,而是: 可能进入数月级别结构重建周期。
但:
短线已经明显进入: EXPANSION AFTER SHOCK。
容易出现:
急拉后震荡
高位换手
假突破洗盘
回踩测试
Transition Pressure
30M
MACD 死叉延续
OBV 横向
超短线资金进入休息
SHORT TERM PRESSURE ACTIVE
4H
MACD 开始下弯
但价格仍维持高位
属于 momentum cooling
代表:
结构未坏,但扩张效率下降。
1D
日线仍维持 bullish dominance
Ichimoku 云层下方支撑正在上移
VPVR 主成交区开始迁移
只要不跌回 0.070 下方太久, 日线结构仍属于:
ACTIVE ACCEPTANCE。
1W
周线最关键。
目前:
周 MACD 强力扩张
OBV 出现结构级跳升
Fisher 已回到零轴附近
代表:
中周期资金正在重新参与。
这是目前整个图里最强的结构层。
Path A — Primary Path
ACTIVE ACCEPTANCE → SECOND EXPANSION
Trigger:
重新站稳 0.078–0.080
成交量重新放大
4H MACD重新上拐
Then:
有机会攻击 0.085 → 0.090
若突破 0.090,结构会进入 acceleration zone
Probability: 65%
Path B — Cooling Pullback
EXPANSION FAILURE → SUPPORT RETEST
Trigger:
跌破 0.072
4H momentum 持续衰减
日线量能下降
Then:
回测 0.068–0.070
深一点可能测试 0.060–0.065 VPVR 区
Probability: 35%
Heat State
HEAT: MEDIUM-HIGH
原因:
短时间涨幅过大
周线扩张速度太快
30M / 4H 已开始出现 cooling signal
所以:
现在不是“舒服追价区”。
更偏向:
强势结构中的高波动阶段。
Key Structure Zone
Zone
Structure Meaning
0.090
Expansion trigger zone
0.080
短线控制区
0.072–0.075
当前 acceptance zone
0.068–0.070
日线防守区
0.060–0.065
核心 VPVR 支撑
0.050–0.055
长期结构底
Final Structure Sentence
EURO 当前不是传统稳定趋势股。
它属于:
LONG-TERM RECOVERY STOCK entering EARLY SPECULATIVE EXPANSION.
周线与月线正在解除长期死亡结构,
但短线已经进入高波动 friction 区。
真正关键不是今天涨跌,
而是:
市场能否接受 0.075 上方的新价格结构EURO HOLDINGS — STRUCTURE UPDATE

EURO is no longer trading inside its old long-term compression structure.
The market is now attempting to reprice the stock into a higher acceptance zone above 0.075.

On the higher timeframe, the weekly and monthly structure are showing clear recovery signals:

• Weekly MACD expansion remains active
• OBV participation has started rebuilding
• Long-cycle Fisher reversal is emerging from historical lows
• Multi-year downside pressure is weakening

This suggests the stock may be entering a medium-term structural recovery phase rather than a short-lived spike.

However, short-term momentum has started cooling after the recent aggressive expansion.

30M and 4H structure currently show:

• Momentum deceleration
• Expansion efficiency slowing
• High-volatility acceptance behavior

This means the stock is now entering a friction zone where aggressive shakeouts and fast volatility can occur.

PATH A — ACTIVE ACCEPTANCE

If EURO can maintain structure above 0.075 and reclaim 0.080 with renewed participation and volume expansion:

→ Structure may continue toward 0.085–0.090
→ A successful break above 0.090 could trigger a secondary acceleration phase

PATH B — EXPANSION FAILURE

If 0.072 fails and short-term momentum continues weakening:

→ Structure may retrace toward 0.068–0.070
→ Deeper support remains near 0.060–0.065 VPVR zone

Current condition remains:

BULLISH BUT HIGH-FRICTION.

The key question now is no longer whether EURO can spike.

The real question is:

Can the market truly accept a new price structure above 0.075?。
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