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Owen Lee
's comment on
AMBANK
.
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Owen Lee
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MBOW Public Output v3.4-p1
Stock: AMBANK (AMMB)
Current Price: 6.030
1. Core Conclusion
这波不是“正常回调”,而是阶段性见顶后的结构转折。
月线仍在上升趋势内,但短中周期已经进入调整主导阶段。
2. Structure Analysis
月线:上升趋势未破,但出现高位转折K(顶部信号)
周线:明确跌破趋势节奏,进入调整段
日线:连续下杀 + 无反弹结构(弱)
4H:单边下行,没有像样反弹
30m:横盘→破低→弱反抽
结构结论:上升趋势中的中级调整(偏空结构)
3. Multi-Timeframe Resonance (Daily + 4H)
Daily:MACD死叉 + 加速向下
4H:持续空头排列
OBV:资金开始流出
Fisher:从高位反转
共振结论:空头动能主导
4. Key Price Levels
当前支撑:5.90 – 6.00(正在测试)
下方支撑:5.50 – 5.60(关键区)
压力区:6.30 – 6.50
强压力:6.80
5. Path Scenarios
Path A(20%)
守住 5.90 → 弱反弹到 6.30
Path B(40%)
5.80 – 6.30 区间震荡(修复结构)
Path C(40%)
跌破 5.80 → 下探 5.50
6. Final Verdict
Current Structure State: Correction Phase within Uptrend (Bearish Bias)
Long-term trend is still intact, but mid-term structure has clearly shifted into a corrective phase. There is no confirmed base yet. Short-term trades face downside continuation risk unless strong reclaim occurs above resistance zones.
Structure Rating: C+
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Heong Chee Wai
Your rating on SUNCON not advisable to chase. I bought in based on my own proprietary edge and to the moon.
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Owen Lee
不建议追好像是在6.42附近,不过有写适合低吸,那天有跌倒6.20附近,如果你有底吸到那就幸运了,不过模型都有写了路径概率,通常准确度会高,我是属于保守派的,情愿错失也一定要买到舒服的位置
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